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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2007

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and … policy was sustainable both for the EU15 panel set, and within subperiods (1970-1991 and 1992-2006). …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604866

Business cycle synchronization and insurance mechanisms in the EU

Afonso, António; Furceri, Davide - 2007

In this paper we provide a positive exercise on past business-cycle correlations and risk sharing in the European Union, and on the ability of insurance mechanisms and fiscal policies to smooth income fluctuations. The results suggest in particular that while some of the new Member States have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604890

What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641707

Easy money through the back door : the markets vs. the ECB

Bibow, Jörg (contributor) - 2001

This brief assesses the experiences of Europe's policy regime in the two years since the introduction of the euro in 1999, particularly the performance of the European Central Bank (ECB), the institution in charge of conducting monetary policy for the euro area. Conventional accounts of European...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353731

Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based … budget deficits to current account deficits for several EU countries: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France … deficit ; external imbalance ; real exchange rates ; EU ; OECD …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006

Short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields

Afonso, António - 2010

-term yields ; EU ; financial integration ; panel cointegration ; bootstrap …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732265

Self-fulfilling crises in the Eurozone : an empirical test

De Grauwe, Paul; Ji, Yuemei - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009575314

Exports and capacity constraints : evidence for several euro area countries

Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2015

We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368

What's in a second opinion? : shadowing the ECB and the Bank of England

Neuenkirch, Matthias; Siklos, Pierre L. - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009788857

Monetary policy in EMU when the transmission is asymmetric and uncertain

De Grauwe, Paul; Sénégas, Marc-Alexandre - 2003

In this paper we address the issue of how transmission uncertainty could affect the choice between a federal monetary policy based on national data and one on aggregated data.We find that the uncertainty about the transmission process increases the need to take into account information about...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506467