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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013271201
This research note discusses the Euro crisis in Greece in light of the referendum of July the 5th. It lays out the social and political costs of a GREXIT, but also of a continuing austerity policy. It proposes a reform policy fostering growth in Greece and discusses the role of conditionality....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308548
This paper investigates the potentially non-linear relation between households' indebtedness and their consumption … between 2010 and 2014 in Belgium, using panel data from the two waves of the Household Finance and Consumption Survey. Unlike … previous studies, we find a negative effect of households' indebtedness on their consumption, even in the absence of negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486606
This paper uses an overlapping generations model with international labor mobility and a politically responsive fiscal policy to examine aging in developed and developing regions. Migrant workers change the political structure composed of young and elderly voters in both labor-receiving and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003845509
In the Covid-19 crisis, most OECD countries use short-time work schemes (subsidized working time reductions) to preserve employment relationships. This paper studies whether short-time work can save jobs through stabilizing aggregate demand in recessions. We build a New Keynesian model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517675
spending on consumer spending. Our consumption data come from household-level retail purchases in the Nielsen scanner data and … local non-durable consumer spending by $0.29 and local auto spending by $0.09. We translate the regional consumption … our incomplete markets model from models with complete markets. At the zero lower bound, the aggregate consumption …
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