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How do voters allocate costly attention to alternative political issues? And how does selective ignorance of voters interact with policy design by politicians? We address these questions by developing a model of electoral competition with rationally inattentive voters. Rational inattention...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451105
world population over the period 1800-2016. The analysis is carried out for the original series, and also for its log …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258249
This paper formulates a general theory of how political unrest influences public policy. Political unrest is motivated … view of what is fair taking into account the current state of the world. If fewer aggregate resources are available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722397
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
In recent years there has been a growing interest in the impact of inequality on economic growth. Both theoretical and empirical approaches have produced ambiguous results on sign and size of this relationship. Although there is a considerable part of the literature that considers inequality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349190
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method weighs data points in the observed sample and is useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring structural breaks, complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416341
This paper analyses trends and persistence in atmospheric pollution in ten US cities over the period from January 2014 to January 2024 using fractional integration methods. The results support the hypothesis of long memory and mean reversion in atmospheric pollution in all cities examined. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015420818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001563324