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Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2014

The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful approach to analyze interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks where both the cross-section and the time dimensions are large. This paper surveys the latest developments in the GVAR modeling,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354717

Alternative approaches to estimation and inference in large multifactor panels : small sample results with an application to modelling of asset returns

Kapetanios, George (contributor); … - 2005

are analysed and insights from the theory of industrial organisation are given. Governments intervene in the market for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002734112

Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983206

Optimal tariffs, retaliation and the welfare loss from tariff wars in the Melitz model

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Jung, Benjamin; Larch, Mario - 2011

tariffs ; retaliation ; tariff wars ; heterogeneous firms ; World Trade Organization ; Nash equilibrium …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130204

Infinite dimensional VARs and factor models

Chudik, Alexander (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624878

On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Larch, Mario; Yalçin, Erdal; … - 2020

We build on the latest developments in the structural gravity literature to quantify the partial and general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974

Oil prices and the global economy : is it different this time around?

Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2016

The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542

Macroeconomic dynamics and credit risk : a global perspective

Schuermann, Til; Treutler, Björn-Jakob; Weiner, Scott M.; … - 2003

We develop a framework for modeling conditional loss distributions through the introduction of risk factor dynamics. Asset value changes of a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macro effects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks. Default...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508097

Exploring the intensive and extensive margins of world trade : presented at Venice Summer Institute, Workshop on Dissecting Globalization, July 2004

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Kohler, Wilhelm - 2004

World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a "cornersolutions- version"of the gravity model to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450770

What do we really know about the transatlantic current account?

Braml, Martin T.; Felbermayr, Gabriel - 2019

Do the U.S. have a current account surplus or a deficit with the EU? Since 2009, official sources disagree: The U.S. Department of Commerce claims a consistent U.S. surplus while Eurostat reports the opposite. International transactions are notoriously difficult to measure accurately, but the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065058

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