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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756

The economics of human development and social mobility

Heckman, James J.; Mosso, Stefano - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252655

Infinite dimensional VARs and factor models

Chudik, Alexander (contributor); … - 2007

This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003646695

A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence

Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

to output series in the Penn World Tables over 1950-2000, as well as to Maddion's historical series over 1870 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002422931

Skill policies for Scotland

Heckman, James J. (contributor); … - 2004

This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002540578

China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2011

world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …