Showing 1 - 7 of 7
learning-to-forecast experiments. This finding also persists in the learning-to-optimize design. Finally, convergence in the … learning-to-optimize experiment is more challenging to achieve: coordination on the two-cycle is never observed, although the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231727
This paper provides experimental evidence on coordination within genuinely large groups that could proxy the atomistic nature of real-world markets and organizations. We use a bank-run game where the two pure-strategy equilibria "run" and "wait" can be ranked by payoff and risk-dominance and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244273
We introduce behavioral learning equilibria (BLE) into a multi-variate linear framework and apply it to New Keynesian … Wouters (2007) model. A horse race between rational expectations equilibrium (REE), BLE and constant gain learning models … shows that the BLE model outperforms the REE benchmark and is competitive with constant gain learning models in terms of in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370515
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380344
Attention to the economy plays a key role in canonical macro models, yet its empirical properties are not well understood. We collect novel measures of attention to the economy based on open-ended survey questions. Our measures are included in tailored panel surveys of German firms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014445279
finance statistics, and the Labour Force Survey). By incorporating adaptive learning and heuristics, we equip the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482451
We survey the recent literature in economics measuring what is on top of people's minds using open-ended questions. We first provide an overview of studies in political economy, macroeconomics, finance, labor economics, and behavioral economics that have employed such measurement. We next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526240