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~isPartOf:"CEMMAP working papers / Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper series / UCL Economics"
~isPartOf:"HWWA discussion paper"
~isPartOf:"Working paper / IFAU - Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Florax, Raymond J. G. M."
~person:"Franses, Philip Hans"
~person:"Gautier, Pieter"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Ravazzolo, Francesco"
~person:"Verhoef, Erik T."
~source:"econis"
~subject:"Factor analysis"
~subject:"Konjunktur"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung"
~subject:"Meta-Analyse"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~subject:"Stochastic process"
~subject:"Stochastischer Prozess"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"United States"
~subject:"Volatilität"
~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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Florax, Raymond J. G. M.
Franses, Philip Hans
Gautier, Pieter
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Heckman, James J.
Koopman, Siem Jan
Ravazzolo, Francesco
Verhoef, Erik T.
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51
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
Saved in:
52
Does disagreement amongst forecasters have predictive value?
Legerstee, Rianne
;
Franses, Philip Hans
-
2010
Forecasts from various experts are often used in macroeconomic forecasting models. Usually the focus is on the mean or median of the survey data. In the present study we adopt a different perspective on the survey data as we examine the predictive power of disagreement amongst forecasters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381819
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53
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
54
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
Saved in:
55
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
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56
Modeling dynamic volatilities and correlations under skewness and fat tails
Zhang, Xin
;
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2011
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
Saved in:
57
Time series models with a common stochastic variance for analysing economic time series
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Bos, Charles S.
-
2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001718624
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58
An empirical measure for labor market density
Gautier, Pieter
;
Teulings, Coen N.
-
2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001471440
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59
The stochastic volatility on mean model : empirical evidence from international stock markets
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Uspensky, Eugenie Hol
-
2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001472890
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60
Business and default cycles for credit risk
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001792714
Saved in:
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