To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...

The system GMM estimator for dynamic panel data models combines moment conditions for the model in first differences with moment conditions for the model in levels. It has been shown to improve on the GMM estimator in the first differenced model in terms of bias and root mean squared error....

A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro-effect directly from data that include EMU observations. Using...

The system GMM estimator for dynamic panel data models combines moment conditions for the model in first differences with moment conditions for the model in levels. It has been shown to improve on the GMM estimator in the first differenced model in terms of bias and root mean squared error....

The finite sample behaviour is analysed of particular least squares (LS) and method of moments (MM) estimators in panel data models with individual effects and both a lagged dependent variabIe regressor and another explanatory variabIe which may be affected by lagged feedbacks from the dependent...

The relative magnitudes are compared of successive terms in a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the bias of the LSDV estimator in dynamic panels. We find that the leading term accounts for the major part of the actual bias in small samples. This implies that bias correction procedures can be...

To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...

See also 'The Euro Effect on Trade is not as Large as commonly thought' in the <I>Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics</I>. Vol. 69, pages 473-496.<P> A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade. Existing studies examine this...</p></i>

This discussion paper led to a publication in the <A href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407605000618">'Journal of Econometrics'</A> 132(2), 409-44.<P>The finite sample behaviour is analysed of particular least squares (LS) andmethod of moments (MM) estimators in panel data models with individual effectsand both a lagged dependent variabIe regressor and...</p></a>

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in <I>Economics Letters</I>. Vol. 79(2), pages 145-152.<P> The relative magnitudes are compared of successive terms in a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the bias of the LSDV estimator in dynamic panels. We find that the leading term accounts for the...</p></i>