The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …

interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market … performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states - employment and unemployment … that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

unemployment is affected by different labour market institutions (LMI) such as labour taxes, unemployment benefits, employment …The development of the unemployment rate differs substantially between OECD countries. In recent years some countries … experienced a mild increase, other countries had a stable unemployment rate, while there are also 'successful' countries in which …

Blanchard and Wolfers (2000) to analyse the role of the interaction of macroeconomic shocks and labour market institutions for … of the unemployment rate and of worker transitions. …