The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

Survey (LFS) to construct worker transition rates across employment, unemployment, and inactivity. Our approach involves … of job search from inactivity compared to unemployment. This factor provides enough structure to prevent arbitrary … splitting of unemployment outflows between employment and inactivity. In turn, the estimated job search factor can be used in a …

document how worker flows between employment, unemployment, and out of the labor force vary by gender and age and contribute to …

interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market … performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states - employment and unemployment … that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in …

, which leads to expectation of reversal. -- Unemployment ; flexibility ; temporary contracts ; unemployment duration … ; unemployment recurrence ; on the job search ; labor force composition …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

probabilities between private and public employment, unemployment and inactivity. We examine the stocks and flows by gender, age and … unemployment rate. Public-sector employment contributes 20 percent to fluctuations in the unemployment rate in the UK, 15 percent …