The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

unemployment is affected by different labour market institutions (LMI) such as labour taxes, unemployment benefits, employment …The development of the unemployment rate differs substantially between OECD countries. In recent years some countries … experienced a mild increase, other countries had a stable unemployment rate, while there are also 'successful' countries in which …

Existing models of equilibrium unemployment with endogenous labor market participation are complex, generate … procyclical unemployment rates and cannot match unemployment variability relative to GDP. We embed endogenous participation in a … variabilities but also generates strongly countercyclical unemployment rates. With some wage rigidity the model also matches …