forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA’s regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …

from employment into unemployment in April 2020 were due to the containment measures. In a second approach, we make use of … the unemployment effect coming from the separations margin. In sum, the lockdown measures increased unemployment in the …

With the COVID-19 crisis as background, the underlying paper elaborates on setting up an unemployment insurance for … conditions with regard to self-employed and derive conclusions on how unemployment insurance for them should be designed. In this …, we investigate the key elements of such an insurance. When it comes to financing the unemployment scheme, we discuss how …

considerably increased inflows from employment into unemployment, and 33 percent of the reduced outflows from unemployment to … unemployment in the short run by 80,000 persons. …