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How do European Monetary and Fiscal Authorities Behave?

Favero, Carlo A. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002

The objective of this study is to investigate the behaviour of monetary and fiscal authorities in the Euro area. Our main contribution is joint modeling of behaviour of the two authorities. Our investigation highlights a number of facts. The systematic monetary policies adopted by the non-German...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656458

How Does Liquidity Affect Government Bond Yields?

Favero, Carlo A.; Pagano, Marco; von Thadden, Ernst-Ludwig - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

trend in yield differentials, which is correlated with a measure of aggregate risk. In contrast, liquidity differentials … display sizeable heterogeneity and no common factor. We propose a simple model with endogenous liquidity demand, where a bond …'s liquidity premium depends both on its transaction cost and on investment opportunities. The model predicts that yield …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124174

How Large Are the Effects of Tax Changes?

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

We use the time series of shifts in U.S. Federal tax liabilities constructed by Romer and Romer to estimate tax multipliers. Differently from the single-equation approach adopted by Romer and Romer, our estimation strategy (a Var that includes output, government spending and revenues, inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536

Country Heterogeneity and the International Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco; Perego, Jacopo - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

This paper shows how the richer frequency and variety of fiscal policy shocks available in an international sample can be analyzed recognizing the heterogeneity that exists across different countries. The main conclusion of our empirical analysis is that the question 'what is the fiscal policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201121

Fiscal Policy and the Current Account

Ali Abbas, S.M.; Bouhga-Hagbe, Jacques; Fatás, Antonio; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

This paper examines the relationship between fiscal policy and the current account, drawing on a larger country sample than in previous studies and using panel regressions, vector auto-regressions, and an analysis of large fiscal and external adjustments. On average, a strengthening in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468562

Reconciling VAR-based and Narrative Measures of the Tax-Multiplier

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

The currently available empirical evidence shows remarkable differences between various estimates of the effects on U.S. output of an exogenous shift in Federal tax liabilities. Shocks identified via the narrative method imply a multiplier of about three over an horizon of three years. Tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468626

Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

A single variable describes, day-by-day, what investors think about the state of Brazil's economy: the Brazilian component of the Emerging Market Bond Index, the Embi spread. This spread is the difference between the yield on a dollar-denominated bond issued by the Brazilian government and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123784

The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Rules in the US States

Fatás, Antonio; Mihov, Ilian - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

Fiscal policy restrictions are often criticized for limiting the ability of governments to react to business cycle fluctuations. Therefore, the adoption of quantitative restrictions is viewed as inevitably leading to increased macroeconomic volatility. In this Paper we use data from 48 US states...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136666

Debt and the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

A shift in taxes or in government spending (a ”fiscal shock”) at some point in time puts a constraint on the path of taxes and spending in the future, since the government intertemporal budget constraint will eventually have to be met. This simple fact is surprisingly overlooked in analyses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497892

Government Size and Automatic Stabilizers: International and Intranational Evidence

Fatás, Antonio; Mihov, Ilian - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

This paper studies the role of automatic stabilizers using a sample of OECD countries and US states. We find that there is a strong and robust negative correlation between measures of government size and the volatility of output. This correlation is robust to the inclusion of a large set of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504602