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Bridges or Buffers? Motives behind Immigrants’ Religiosity - A Comparative Study of Europe and the United States

García-Muñoz, Teresa; Neuman, Shoshana - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

two sides of the Atlantic – Europe and the United States. The contribution of the study is mainly empirical, trying to … Social Survey (ESS), the American General Social Survey (GSS), and the International Social Survey Program (ISSP). Estimation … indeed more religious than the populations in the receiving countries, both in Europe and in the United States; and (b) while …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084585

Estimating Labour Market Discrimination with Selectivity Corrected Wage Equations: Methodological Considerations and an Illustration from Israel

Neuman, Shoshana; Oaxaca, Ronald L - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998

This paper presents a modified and improved methodology for the decomposition of wage differentials between two groups … of workers into an endowment component and a discrimination component. The standard decomposition technique does not take … into the wage differential decompositions, two statistical methodologies are merged: the Oaxaca methodology and the Heckman …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114210

Rhetoric in Economic Research: The Case of Gender Wage Differentials

Weichselbaumer, Doris; Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2003

, because rhetoric on the one hand, and content and methodology of the paper on the other, cannot be separated easily. We … productivity constant. We analyse close to 200 papers to investigate what drives authors to talk about ‘discrimination’, whether …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661487

Testing for Structural Breaks in Small Samples

Antoshin, Sergei; Berg, Andrew; Souto, Marcos - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008

smaller samples. We propose modifying their methodology to deal with small samples by using Monte Carlo simulations to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264217

Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors in Panel Probits; An Application to Currency Crisis Prediction

Berg, Andrew; Coke, Rebecca N. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004

Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem, proposes and tests a solution, and applies it to previously...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768958

Assessing Early Warning Systems; How Have they Worked in Practice?

Berg, Andrew; Borensztein, Eduardo; Pattillo, Catherine A. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non-model-based forecasts, such as agency ratings and private...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768990

Structural Models in Real Time

Clinton, Kevin; Johnson, Marianne; Benes, Jaromir; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010

This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519485

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

Matheson, Troy - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011

We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle. In a recursive out-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that the indicators...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876579

Real-Time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Liu, Philip; Romeu, Rafael; Matheson, Troy - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more acute for emerging market economies, where most economic data are released...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019577

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Matheson, Troy - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011

Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for forecasting economic activity and have good revision properties.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019596