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The Roles of Monetary Policy in the Process of Economic Reform in Eastern Europe
Bofinger, Peter - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1990
The first part of the paper analyzes the inflationary risks associated with price liberalization, the welfare costs of inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the low credibility of stabilization policies and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
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Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs
Berger, Helge; Österholm, Pär - 2007
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
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A tale of four tails: Inflation, the policy rate, longer-term rates, and stock prices
Anene, Dominic; D'Amico, Stefania - 2017
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
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Monetary policy under alternative exchange rate regimes in Central and Eastern Europe
Ziegler, Christina - 2012
Monetary policy in CEE is an important determinant in the wage bargaining process, because trade unions have to predict inflation as one component of future real wages. This paper scrutinizes whether countries in CEE that officially announce an inflation target are tempted to act...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308235
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Regulierung, Deglobalisierung und Arbeitskräftemangel als Transmissionskanäle von der Geldpolitik zur Inflation
Schnabl, Gunther - 2023
Arbeitsmarktes beigetragen hat. Der negative Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die Globalisierung wird auf Überinvestition in China sowie … die negativen Verteilungseffekte der Geldpolitik zurückgeführt. Das Ergebnis ist eine sich verfestigende … Konsumentenpreisinflation. Zur Bekämpfung der Inflation wird eine Fortsetzung des Ausstiegs der EZB aus der ultra- lockeren Geldpolitik …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014317118
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Symmetrische Regeln und asymmetrisches Handeln in der Geld- und Finanzpolitik
Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2011
Das Papier untersucht auf der Grundlage der monetären Überinvestitionstheorien von Wicksell (1898), Mises (1912) and Hayek (1929, 1935) das Scheitern von geld- und finanzpolitischen Regeln zur Kontrolle von übermäßigem Geldmengenwachstum und ausufernder Staatsverschuldung. Es zeigt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305985
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The tragedy of the commons and inflation bias in the euro area
Dinger, Valeriya; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2012
Central bank credit has expanded dramatically since the beginning of 2007 in some of the euro area member countries. This paper makes two contributions to understand this stylized fact. First, we discuss a simple model of monetary policy that includes (i) a credit channel and (ii) a common pool...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343285
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Is monetary financing inflationary? A case study of the Canadian economy, 1935 - 75
Ryan-Collins, Josh - 2015
Historically high levels of private and public debt coupled with already very low short-term interest rates appear to limit the options for stimulative monetary policy in many advanced economies today. One option that has not yet been considered is monetary financing by central banks to boost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545308
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Understanding inflation in emerging and developing economies
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2019
Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) have experienced an extraordinary decline in inflation since the early 1970s. After peaking in 1974 at 17.3 percent, inflation in these economies declined to 3.5 percent in 2017. Despite a checkered history of managing inflation among many EMDEs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060219
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A framework for understanding inflation - with or without money
Bengtsson, Ingemar - 2005
This paper presents a model that pictures how inflation is determined in a decentralized market process where prices are set in both simultaneous and sequential contracts. Price setting is seen as a coordination game between the price setters of sequential contracts. An important property of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208483