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How do European Monetary and Fiscal Authorities Behave?

Favero, Carlo A. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002

The objective of this study is to investigate the behaviour of monetary and fiscal authorities in the Euro area. Our main contribution is joint modeling of behaviour of the two authorities. Our investigation highlights a number of facts. The systematic monetary policies adopted by the non-German...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656458

How Does Liquidity Affect Government Bond Yields?

Favero, Carlo A.; Pagano, Marco; von Thadden, Ernst-Ludwig - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

trend in yield differentials, which is correlated with a measure of aggregate risk. In contrast, liquidity differentials … display sizeable heterogeneity and no common factor. We propose a simple model with endogenous liquidity demand, where a bond …'s liquidity premium depends both on its transaction cost and on investment opportunities. The model predicts that yield …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124174

How Large Are the Effects of Tax Changes?

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

We use the time series of shifts in U.S. Federal tax liabilities constructed by Romer and Romer to estimate tax multipliers. Differently from the single-equation approach adopted by Romer and Romer, our estimation strategy (a Var that includes output, government spending and revenues, inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536

Country Heterogeneity and the International Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco; Perego, Jacopo - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

This paper shows how the richer frequency and variety of fiscal policy shocks available in an international sample can be analyzed recognizing the heterogeneity that exists across different countries. The main conclusion of our empirical analysis is that the question 'what is the fiscal policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201121

Reconciling VAR-based and Narrative Measures of the Tax-Multiplier

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

The currently available empirical evidence shows remarkable differences between various estimates of the effects on U.S. output of an exogenous shift in Federal tax liabilities. Shocks identified via the narrative method imply a multiplier of about three over an horizon of three years. Tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468626

Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

A single variable describes, day-by-day, what investors think about the state of Brazil's economy: the Brazilian component of the Emerging Market Bond Index, the Embi spread. This spread is the difference between the yield on a dollar-denominated bond issued by the Brazilian government and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123784

Debt and the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

A shift in taxes or in government spending (a ”fiscal shock”) at some point in time puts a constraint on the path of taxes and spending in the future, since the government intertemporal budget constraint will eventually have to be met. This simple fact is surprisingly overlooked in analyses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497892

Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods

Favero, Carlo A.; Giglio, Stefano W - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006

We study the relationship between the term structure of interest rates and fiscal policy by considering the Italian case. Empirical analysis has been so far rather inconclusive on this important topic. We abscribe such evidence to three problems: identification, regime-switching and maturity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792388

Why Does the Yield Curve Predict Economic Activity? Dissecting the Evidence for Germany and the United States

Smets, Frank; Tsatsaronis, Kostas - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1997

This paper investigates why the slope of the yield curve predicts future economic activity in Germany and the United States. A structural VAR is used to identify aggregate supply, aggregate demand, monetary policy and inflation scare shocks and to analyse their effects on the real, nominal and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123911

Should the Euro Area be Run as a Closed Economy?

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

The European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has created a new economic area, larger and closer with respect to the rest of the world. Area-specific shocks are thus more important in EMU than country-specific shocks used to be in the previous states, e.g. in Germany. It is thus not surprising...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136545