to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently … assumption of quadratic symmetric preferences, while being congruent with a risk management model. We show how the parameters of …

country can raise its total factor productivity by investing in R&D. Countries can also boost their productivity by trading …

characteristics. The results suggest that institutional differences are important determinants of total factor productivity and that …

knowledge' from its cumulative R&D activities, a developing country can boost its productivity by importing a larger variety of …

Investment in research and development (R&D) affects a country's total factor productivity. Recently new theories of … total factor productivity of its trade partners. Following these theoretical developments we estimate the effects of a … country's R&D capital stock and the R&D capital stocks of its trade partners on the country's total factor productivity. We …