leading to poor productivity performance are the most plausible explanation of Britain's relative decline. It is argued both …

to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …

Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently … assumption of quadratic symmetric preferences, while being congruent with a risk management model. We show how the parameters of …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

This paper examines the role of competition in productivity perfromance in Britain over the period from the late … 1930s to the 1970s undermined productivity growth but since the 1970s stronger competition has been a key ingredient in … ending relative economic decline. The productivity implications of the retreat from competition resulted in large part from …

unemployment this made sense. A bargaining model approach suggests, however, that this had a harmful impact on productivity growth …