We show that international consumption risk sharing is significantly improved by capital flows, especially portfolio … investment. Concomitantly, we show that poor institutions hamper risk sharing, but to an extent that decreases with openness. In … particular, risk sharing is prevalent even among economies with poor institutions, provided they are open to international …

to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …

The paper analyses and compares the role that the tightening in liquidity conditions and the collapse in risk appetite … shocks have had a more severe impact on advanced economies, it was mainly the decline in risk appetite that affected emerging … within types of economies, with Europe being more adversely affected by the fall in risk appetite than other advanced …

finds that common shocks--key crisis events as well as changes to global liquidity and risk--have exerted a large effect on … risk and the strength of domestic macroeconomic fundamentals. Comparing and quantifying these effects shows that common …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

The paper analyses the transmission of liquidity shocks and risk shocks to global financial markets. Using a Global VAR … strong during the 2010-11 sovereign debt crisis, with risk shocks driving down bond yields in key advanced economies. The …

Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently … assumption of quadratic symmetric preferences, while being congruent with a risk management model. We show how the parameters of …