productivity growth in the US economy can be attributed to a technological acceleration within durable manufacturing and to …-factor productivity in the 88% of the economy outside of durable manufacturing. In comparison with the Great Inventions of 1860-1900, the …

This paper assesses the ‘one big wave’ in multi-factor productivity (MFP) growth for the United States since 1870. The … boosting productivity growth, followed by a reopening that contributed to the post-1972 productivity slowdown. …

to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently … assumption of quadratic symmetric preferences, while being congruent with a risk management model. We show how the parameters of …

Productivity growth in the United States was considerably faster during 2000-03 than in the boom years of 1995 …-2000. This ebullient productivity performance raises numerous questions about its interpretation and its implications for the … justified on the basis of data through the end of 1999 in their claim that part of the post-1995 productivity growth revival …

job creation in the US, is its slower productivity growth. This paper begins with data showing that US productivity growth … has been essentially zero since 1973 outside of manufacturing. In contrast, productivity growth in US manufacturing has …

This paper shows how misleading is the facile contrast of Europe following a path of high productivity growth, high … shocks may initially create a positive trade-off between productivity and unemployment, they set in motion a dynamic path of … contributions of this paper are to show how a productivity-unemployment trade-off might emerge and how it might subsequently …

included the absence of deposit insurance, the unit-banking regulations that prevented the diversification of financial risk … productivity growth linked to the delayed effects of previously invented 'general purpose technologies' stimulated an increase in … fixed investment that became excessive and proved to be unsustainable, while the productivity acceleration helps to account …

accompanying revival of productivity growth, directly contributed both to faster output growth and to holding down the inflation … the United States, they did not prevent the US from experiencing a dismal period of slow productivity growth between 1972 … and 1995 nor from falling behind in numerous industries outside the IT sector. The 1995-2000 productivity growth revival …