in trade agreements increase the likelihood and restrictiveness of NTBs. We also provide a structural estimate that …

We assess the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty (TPU) toward China in a tractable general equilibrium framework … turn reduces trade flows and real income for consumers. We apply the model to analyze China's export boom around its WTO … normal trade relationship status and thus ending the annual threat to revert to Smoot-Hawley tariff levels. We construct a …