Showing 1 - 6 of 6
Why is GDP growth so much more volatile in poor countries than in rich ones? We identify four possible reasons: (i) poor countries specialize in more volatile sectors; (ii) poor countries specialize in fewer sectors; (iii) poor countries experience more frequent and more severe aggregate shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662216
The preferred risk habitat hypothesis, introduced here, is that individual investors select stocks with volatilities … commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio … stocks are sold they are replaced by stocks of similar volatilities, and the more risk averse customers indeed hold less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067451
generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise … in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence based on U.S. time series and on an international panel strongly … supports these predictions. The empirical specifications featuring the variance of productivity growth can account for two U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642883
Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and misaligned exchange rates, appear to have suffered more macroeconomic volatility and also grown more slowly during the postwar period. Does this reflect the causal effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
This paper investigates the effects of financial development and political instability on economic growth in a power-ARCH framework with data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. Our findings suggest that (i) informal or unanticipated political instability (e.g., guerrilla warfare) has a direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114221
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual time series data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667076