We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU … is a significant determinant of inflation in a simple backward-looking Phillips Curve that incorporates import prices …

accurate forecasts. We use the model to study the pass-through of an oil shock and to study the evolution of inflation during …

We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Our analysis is based on … roughly cut in half. Third, there is no apparent contemporaneous link between inflation and public debt levels for the … advanced countries as a group (some countries, such as the United States, have experienced higher inflation when debt/GDP is …

macroeconomic forecasts. We produce real time out-of-sample forecasts for inflation, the unemployment rate and the interest rate … predictions for the three variables. In particular for inflation the TV-VAR outperforms, in terms of mean square forecast error … also shown to hold over the most recent period in which it has been hard to forecast inflation. …

nominal interest and inflation rates. For close to a decade the principal focus of monetary policy has been on inflation … consideration, but at other times inflation control has been the major objective. We argue that this concentration on inflation has …

This paper considers the existence of a path of GDP corresponding to steady inflation in the prices of domestic goods …. We estimate the steady inflation rate of growth, denoted the SIRG, at a little over 4 per cent per annum in the post …-float period. Changes in inflation are modelled as a nonlinear combination of growth and changes in import price inflation. Because …