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Using a variant of the Cagan model with rational expectations, this paper shows that expected stabilization can result in a budget deficit in excess of the maximum inflation tax. A cap on the deficit dampens inflation expectations and raises real balances, thus increasing the yield of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792067
In this paper we propose a test of the hyperinflation model of money demand, which is valid under any assumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067417
early stages of stabilization. Other countries, like Bolivia, had already run the course and stabilized or, like Mexico, had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662072
Inflation and financing of public expenditure by are analysed in an OLG model where the deficit is constrained to be less than a given fraction of intergenerational savings. Even if there may be multiplicity of steady-state equilibria, we show that, with such a constraint, the dynamics with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124264
Several industrialised countries have had a similar inflation experience in the past 30 years, with inflation high and volatile in the 1970s and the 1980s but low and stable in the most recent period. We explore the dynamics of inflation in these countries via a time-varying factor model. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788916
This Paper takes a new look at the long-run dynamics of inflation and unemployment in response to permanent changes in the growth rate of the money supply. We examine the Phillips curve from the perspective of what we call ‘frictional growth’, i.e. the interaction between money growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788925
A monetary overlapping generations model with oligopolistic imperfect competition is constructed. In general, output and employment are below their full employment levels. Three alternative expectations hypotheses are used - 'adaptive', 'monetarist' and 'pure rational' - all of which ensure no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788937
It is sometimes argued that central banks influence the private economy in the short run through controlling a specific component of high powered money, not its total amount. Using a structural VAR approach, this paper evaluates this claim empirically, in the context of the Japanese economy. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789026
This paper reports estimates of monetary policy reaction functions for two sets of countries: the G3 (Germany, Japan and the United States) and the E3 (France, Italy and the United Kingdom). It finds that since 1979 each of the G3 central banks has pursued an implicit form of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789030
Weak public institutions, including high levels of corruption, characterize many developing countries. With a simple model, we demonstrate that institutional quality has important implications for the design of monetary policies and can produce several departures from the conventional wisdom. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789083