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should be common or that a policy close to the Friedman rule and thus some deflation is optimal. Finally, a formal ‘baby …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788876
increased, we find that, as of September 2002, with the exception of Japan, there is no evidence of substantial deflation risks …. We also put the estimates of deflation risk for the United States, Germany and Japan into historical perspective. We find … that only for Japan there is evidence of deflation risks that are unusually high by historical standards. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
economy and escape deflation by a real depreciation of the domestic currency, a lower long real interest rate, and increased … the risk of overheating. Some conclusions for Japan are included. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497818
central bank to meet is inflation target. The threat of deflation and a liquidity trap is examined. Transparent inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504393
An independent central bank can manage its balance sheet and its capital so as to commit itself to a depreciation of its currency and an exchange-rate peg. This way, the central bank can implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504755
occurs when unwanted deflation needs to be prevented or combated, but the central bank’s conventional monetary arsenal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662197
We consider inflation and government debt dynamics when monetary policy employs a global interest rate rule and private agents forecast using adaptive learning. Because of the zero lower bound on interest rates, active interest rate rules are known to imply the existence of a second, low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666651
After an absence of almost half a century, the spectre of deflation is once again haunting the corridors of central … banks and finance ministries in the industrial world. While preventing or combating deflation poses some unique difficulties … not present in preventing or combating inflation, deflation can be prevented and, if it has taken hold, can be overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666933
The paper considers the macroeconomic transmission of demand and supply shocks in an open economy under alternative assumptions on whether the zero interest floor (ZIF) is binding. It uses a two-country general-equilibrium simulation model calibrated to the Japanese economy vis-à-vis the rest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792266
We study the contribution of the stock of money to the macroeconomic outcomes of the 1990s in Japan using a small scale … stagnation and the long deflation are driven by different causes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557013