Showing 1 - 10 of 287
This paper considers the issue of whether a small developing economy such as Hong Kong faces a perfectly elastic demand for its exports of manufactured goods. We construct a simultaneous demand and supply system which is estimated using Full Information Maximum Likelihood methods, and which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792379
This Paper studies the relationship between residential property prices and lending in Hong Kong. This is an interesting topic for three reasons. First, swings in property prices have been extremely large and frequent in Hong Kong. Second, under the currency board regime, monetary policy cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661824
This Paper studies the term structure of short-term interbank rates in Hong Kong. Principal component analysis suggests that the variation of the term structure can be largely attributed to two components that capture shifts in the level and slope of the yield curve. We find that term spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661871
This paper adds a highly-leveraged financial sector to the Ramsey model of economic growth and shows that this causes the economy to behave in a highly volatile manner: doing this strongly augments the macroeconomic effects of aggregate productivity shocks. Our model is built on the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322500
Business cycle fluctuations in developed economies (N) tend to have large and persistent effects on developing countries (S). We study the transmission of business cycle fluctuations for developed to developing economies with a two-country asymmetric DSGE model with two features: (i) endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322501
volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385762
-root process. Hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discount factors can significantly increase the volatility of aggregate wealth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662071
primarily from convergence in the volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662195
volatility into these four sources, quantify their contribution to aggregate volatility, and study how they relate to the stage …, and slowly increases at later stages of development. Third, the volatility of country- specific macroeconomic shocks falls … with the level of development. We argue that many theories linking volatility and development are not consistent with these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662216
This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily … market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or ‘dispersion’ of daily returns on industry portfolios …, within the month. Over the period 1962–95 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662245