This paper provides a new look at the timing of mutual fund investors. We re-examine the relationship between investors' aggregate net flows into and out of the funds and the returns of the funds in subsequent periods. The negative relationship that we find (using monthly data of aggregate US...

Cochrane’s variance ratio is a leading tool for detection of deviations from random walks in financial asset prices. This Paper develops a variance ratio related regression model that can be used for prediction. We suggest a comprehensive framework for our model, including model...

This Paper studies a consumption and portfolio choice problem of a long-lived investor who derives pleasure not only from current consumption, but also from contemplation of future consumption. These preferences are formalized by Kuznitz (2003a, 2003b, 2003c), in a model where all effects of...