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Recent empirical tests of dynamic optimal seigniorage models focus on their `smoothing' and long-run implications. The models also imply that the optimal policies are forward looking; that is seigniorage revenues depend on expected future government expenditures. We report causality tests of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666468
The Paper presents a model in which the exogenous money supply causes changes in the inflation rate and the output … growth rate. While inflation and growth rate changes occur simultaneously, the inflation acts as a tax on the return to human … the income velocity of money that can break the otherwise stable relation between money, inflation, and output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791637
It is often argued that the EMS is an effective disciplinary device for inflation-prone countries in the EEC, since it …-makers in high-inflation countries: the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation (in terms of … inflationary finance, we find that they will always prefer EMS membership. When the policy-maker needs revenue from the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
Monetary policy affects both real variables, such as employment, unemployment and output and nominal variables such as … nominal interest and inflation rates. For close to a decade the principal focus of monetary policy has been on inflation … consideration, but at other times inflation control has been the major objective. We argue that this concentration on inflation has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971339
This paper looks at the economic impact of secession through the lens of the disintegration of the former Yugoslavia … away from the former Yugoslavia delivered an ‘independence dividend’ to the newly independent countries and whether b …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083216
The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … invoked if inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466336
We use annual data drawn from 1950-85 to estimate an econometric model of the money multiplier for the United Kingdom. We define the money multiplier as ratio of the money stock broadly defined (M3) and the monetary base (M0), and then decompose the multiplier into the currency ratio, the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497753
This paper gives money a role in providing cheap collateral in a model of banking; this means that, besides the Taylor Rule, monetary policy can affect the risk-premium on bank lending to firms by varying the supply of M0 in open market operations, so that even when the zero bound prevails...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084208
Although recent research has repeatedly found a negative association between investment and political instability, the existence and direction of causality between these two variables has not yet been investigated. This paper empirically tests for such a causal and negative long-run relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791838
In an earlier paper "Granger-causality and Policy Effectiveness" Economica (1984), I showed that for a policy instrument x to Granger-cause some target variable y it is not necessary for x to be useful in controlling y. (The argument that it is not sufficient was already familiar, e.g. from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504347