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of unemployment is affected by the inflation rate. Looking at four countries, France, Germany, the Netherlands and … inflation. The particular shape of the empirical relationship supports the view that a moderate level of inflation provides some … of between 0.5% and 1%, and to decline quickly for higher rates of inflation. For the range of inflation rates observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791256
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
of trade of securities, central banks may choose to commit to costly inflation in favourable states of nature. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067456
Previous time-series studies have shown evidence of mean-reversion in real exchange rates. Deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) appear to have half-lives of approximately four years. The long samples required for statistical significance are unavailable for most currencies, however, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498061
This paper applies a full-information technique to test for the presence of contagion across the money markets of ERM members. We show that whenever it is possible to estimate a model for interdependence, a test for contagion based o a full information technique is more powerful. We test for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123753
We establish an empirical regularity that a weak creditor protection index is associated with high stock price volatility. Using a standard Tobin Q model we demonstrate two distinct mechanisms that are responsible for increased volatility: credit guarantees and weak creditor protection that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497956
Can Europe's post-war experience with fixed exchange rates be useful for today's emerging market countries? A new conventional wisdom suggests that the answer is negative, that in today's world of huge capital flows the only choice is between freely floating exchange rates and hard pegs. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661704
This paper examines how supply-side policies may play a role in fighting a low aggregate demand that traps an economy at the zero lower bound (ZLB) of nominal interest rates. Future increases in productivity or reductions in mark-ups triggered by supply-side policies generate a wealth effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367422
We examine the impact of fiscal policy interventions in an environment where the short term nominal interest rate is at the zero bound. In the basic New Keynesian model in which the monetary authority operates a Taylor rule, globally multiple equilibria arise, some of which display all the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008554241
We show that in weakly identified models (1) the posterior mode will not be a consistent estimator of the true parameter vector, (2) the posterior distribution will not be Gaussian even asymptotically, and (3) Bayesian credible sets and frequentist confidence sets will not coincide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528534