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Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
the welfare costs of severe recessions are distributed across diffrrent household age groups. The model predicts that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915804
linkages between different phases of business and financial cycles. In particular, recessions associated with financial … disruption episodes, notably house price busts, tend to be longer and deeper than other recessions. Conversely, recoveries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024488
Recessions lead to short-term job loss, lower levels of happiness and decreasing income levels. There is growing … disturbing long-run effect of recessions: young people who leave school in the midst of recessions are significantly more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171783
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084027
a succession of three distinct phases: expansions, recessions and recoveries. We discuss alternative methods to identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084132
What can history can tell us about the relationship between the banking system, financial crises, the global economy, and economic performance? Evidence shows that in the advanced economies we live in a world that is more financialized than ever before as measured by importance of credit in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084609
which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Housing finance has come to play a central role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083232
There is a widespread belief that changes in expectations may be an important independent driver of economic fluctuations. The news view of business cycles offers a formalization of this perspective. In this paper we discuss mechanisms by which changes in agents' information, due to the arrival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083558
This Paper proposes a model of business cycles in which recessions and booms arise as the result of difficulties … such a model can explain the observed pattern of US recessions (frequency, depth) without relying on technological regress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792481