This paper models Chinese inflation using an output gap Phillips curve. Inflation modelling for the world’s sixth … curve for China and show that the output gap, the exchange rate, and inflation expectations play important roles in … explaining inflation. We adjust for structural change in the economy where possible and estimate regressions for rolling sample …

from disturbances to the money market, the variance of output is shown to be an increasing function of the trend inflation … inflation rate. When both disturbances are significant, there exists, in general, a critical non-zero trend inflation rate that …

shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …

examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … similar inflation behaviour, in that inflation depends more closely on the capacity utilization rate than on the unemployment … high unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 1970s and 1980s in Germany, there …

model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …

We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …

inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …