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-2001 had an important impact on inflation divergence within the EMU and in particular the surge in Ireland’s inflation to over … contribute to inflation convergence and in particular to a fall in Irish inflation? Fortunately for us, the theory has passed the … test with flying colours. Irish inflation stopped dead in its tracks: consumer prices were unchanged between May and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789034
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
One of the central questions in recent macroeconomic history is to what extent monetary policy as opposed to oil price shocks contributed to the stagflation of the 1970s. Understanding what went wrong in the 1970s is the key to learning from the past. One explanation explored in Barsky and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016247
paper reviews the determination of inflation under different policy regimes. The main danger for inflation from current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468632
The fiscal theory of the price level asserts that the price level is determined by the ratio of outstanding public nominal debt into the present value of real primary budget surpluses of the government. We here argue that the logic of the fiscal theory fails when at least part of the public debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123617
nominal and real wage rigidity) and social preferences regarding inflation, employment, and real wages. We also calibrate our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124134
Financial globalization has seen the emergence of a new monetary standard based on inflation targeting. At the same … constrain the independence of central banks to conduct monetary policy? We argue, and show empirically, that credible inflation … limited deviation was possible within the 'gold points'. On the other hand, the credibility of inflation targeting regime is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124404
inflation in the euro area into high- and low-frequency (or short-run and medium/long-run) components, which are correlated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497991
A new theory of price determination suggests that if primary surpluses are independent of the level of debt, the price level has to ‘jump’ to assure fiscal solvency. In this regime (which we call fiscal dominant), monetary policy has to work through seignorage to control the price level. If,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504577
The paper establishes that sovereigns, like banks, need a lender of last resort (LoLR). In the euro area the ECB, with its estimated €3.4 trillion non-inflationary loss absorption capacity, is the only credible sovereign LoLR. The ECB/Eurosystem has been acting as sovereign LoLR through its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083551