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-cycle fluctuations. Externalities can lead to indeterminacy, allowing self-fulfilling expectations to determine the equilibrium. This … paper argues that the importance of indeterminacy might be overstated by the literature, as it does not recognize that …. This implies that the aggregate characteristics may not be informative even when there is determinacy. Thus indeterminacy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504588
. We find that indeterminacy emerges for empirically plausible values of the parameters, compatible with a downward …-sloping marginal productivity of labour curve. Moreover, we show that indeterminacy and Hopf bifurcations are possible with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504720
We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal monetary and fiscal policy, the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Large pessimistic shocks to expectations can lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497854
We propose a method for solving and estimating linear rational expectations models that exhibit indeterminacy and we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083357
generation EBC1 models to second generation EBC2 models. I argue that EBC1 models, which display dynamic indeterminacy, are part … steady-state indeterminacy, are a more radical departure from the classical Real Business Cycle model; they represent a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084345
We examine the role of expectations in the Great Moderation episode. We derive theoretical restrictions in a New-Keynesian model and test them using measures of expectations obtained from survey data, the Greenbook and bond markets. Expectations explain the dynamics of inflation and interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557017
) income and consumption taxation, on the emergence of indeterminacy. We find that what is relevant for indeterminacy is the … and its variability under which indeterminacy occurs. Moreover, in contrast to previous results, we find that consumption … taxes can lead to local indeterminacy when asset markets are segmented. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067432
continuum of equilibria; adding incomplete markets may lead to real indeterminacy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067630
persistence than standard RBC models and can exhibit indeterminacy of rational expectation paths without increasing returns in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661471
How do individuals with time-inconsistent preferences make consumption-savings decisions? We try to answer this question by considering the simplest possible form of consumption-savings problem, assuming that discounting is quasi-geometric. A solution to the decision problem is then a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661845