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This paper shows that the Ricardian Equivalence proposition can continue to hold when expectations are not rational and … are instead formed using adaptive learning rules. In temporary equilibrium, with given expectations, Ricardian Equivalence … holds under the standard conditions for its validity under rational expectations. Furthermore, Ricardian Equivalence holds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468547
We consider the impact of anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than … rational expectations. To model this we assume that agents combine limited structural knowledge with a standard adaptive …-up there are important deviations from both rational expectations and purely adaptive learning. Our approach could be applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791639
What is the impact of surprise and anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning … rather than rational expectations? We examine this issue using the standard stochastic real business cycle model with lump …-shaped response, and tend to be prominently characterized by oscillations not present under rational expectations. These fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083586
What is the impact of surprise and anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning … rather than rational expectations? We examine this issue using the standard stochastic real business cycle model with lump …-shaped response, and tend to be prominently characterized by oscillations not present under rational expectations. These fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084557
gold standard during the 1930s. We do this by separating expectations of taxation and of devaluation that are implicitly … expectations of a capital levy or other taxation devices; third that hyperinflation was not expected, even at the moment of maximum … low as the spot value. For the 1930s, we show that expectations of a depreciation of the franc explain the rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662302
The paper surveys and extends recent results on the effect of changes in government fiscal and financial policy, and in private savings behaviour, on economic growth. Private saving behaviour is represented by an overlapping generations (OLG) model. The supply side of the model permits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789148
We estimate tax multipliers in a "Blanchard-Yaari" consumption model where Ricardian equivalence is broken because the private sector discounts the future at a faster rate than the real rate of interest. The model fits U.S. data since 1955 extremely well-entailing a discount wedge of around 20...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114505
Labor market programs may affect unemployed individuals’ behavior before they enroll. Such ex ante effects may differ according to ethnic origin. We apply a novel method that relates self-reported perceived treatment rates and job search behavioral outcomes, such as the reservation wage or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861905
candidate is expectations: what people expect could affect how they feel about what actually occurs. In a real-effort experiment …, we manipulate the rational expectations of subjects and check whether this manipulation influences their effort provision …-based reference-dependent preferences: if expectations are high, subjects work longer and earn more money than if expectations are low. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791668
and monetary policies proposed by Leeper (1991), for stability under learning of the rational expectations equilibria (REE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136683