Showing 1 - 10 of 855
Fiscal consolidations achieved by means of spending cuts are much less costly in terms of output losses than tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084635
at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791846
We study the mechanics of transmission of fiscal shocks to labour markets. We characterize a set of robust implications following government consumption, investment and employment shocks in a RBC and a New-Keynesian model and use part of them to identify shocks in the data. In line with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498103
We examine the dynamics of output growth and inflation in the US, Euro area and UK using a structural time varying … coefficient VAR. There are important similarities in structural inflation dynamics across countries; output growth dynamics differ …. Swings in the magnitude of inflation and output growth volatilities and persistences are accounted for by a combination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114193
We compare the output and unemployment effects of fiscal adjustments in different types of government outlays in the US … highest output losses and the lowest gains in terms of deficit reductions. This is because such shocks generate an additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084631
We examine the dynamics of US output and inflation using a structural time varying coefficient VAR. We show that there … output volatility, while a combination of technology, demand and monetary shocks explain variations in the persistence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666833
We examine monetary policy in the euro area from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. We discuss what theory tells us the strategy of Central banks should be and contrasts it with the one employed by the ECB. We review accomplishments (and failures) of monetary policy in the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791458
We examine the role of expectations in the Great Moderation episode. We derive theoretical restrictions in a New-Keynesian model and test them using measures of expectations obtained from survey data, the Greenbook and bond markets. Expectations explain the dynamics of inflation and interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557017
This paper uses the old-Keynesian representative agent model developed in Farmer (2010) to answer two questions: 1) do increased government purchases crowd out private consumption? 2) do increased government purchases reduce unemployment? Farmer compared permanent tax financed expenditure paths...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854537
We calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy- an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing- with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of indirect inference. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491715