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The purpose in this letter is first to review briefly the empirical results on the relationship between real interest rates and real exchange rates; this empirical literature provides little support for the hypothesis of Roll that expected real interest rates are equal in general. Our second aim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124145
inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
We explore the implications of monetary unification for real interest rates and (relative) public debt levels. The adoption of a common monetary policy renders the risk-return characteristics of the participating countries more similar, so that the substitutability of their public debt increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498174
. The model identifies a measure of “pure” inflation: the common component in goods’ inflation rates that has an … equiproportional effect on all prices and is uncorrelated with relative price changes at all dates. The estimates of pure inflation and … pure inflation accounts for 15-20% of the variability in overall inflation, so that most changes in inflation are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067604
narrowed ahead of inflation divergence. Cross-country real interest rankings would then assume a negative correlation with the … corresponding inflation rankings. The paper argues that on theoretical grounds, a perverse correlation between real interest rates … and inflation can be predicted for `old EMS' conditions. Empirical evidence supports this prediction while failing to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662333
The impact of fiscal stimulus depends not only on short-term tax and spending policies, but also on expectations about offsetting measures in the future. This paper analyzes the effects of an increase in government spending under a plausible debt-stabilizing policy that systematically reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976796
. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with unobservable processes for the inflation target … inflation target dominates the variation in the 'level factor' whereas monetary policy shocks dominate the variation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136692
might be learnt from the recent experience of inflation targeting at the Bank of England. We consider whether there should … be single or multiple targets and which, if any, of the existing inflation measures should be used. If inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136552
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977298
This Paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in the face of aggregate shocks. The payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661497