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talk to the Potsdam Global Sustainability Symposium (which drafted the Potsdam Declaration presented to the 2007 UN Climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123837
The latest round of international negotiations in Copenhagen led to a set of commitments on emission reduction which are unlikely to stabilise global warming below or around 2°C. As a consequence, in the absence of additional ambitious policy measures, adaptation will be needed to address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083452
The outcome of the 15th conference of the Parties to the UNFCC showed a shift from a top-down approach with a collective target favoring environmental objectives to a bottom-up accord favoring political feasibility. There is no meaningful binding agreement in sight, also because the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084722
The optimal reaction to a pending productivity shock of which the expected arrival time increases with global warming is to accumulate more precautionary capital to smooth consumption and to levy a carbon tax, proportional to the marginal hazard of a catastrophe, to curb the risk of climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084431
In many economic applications involving comparisons of multivariate distributions, supermodularity of an objective function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates another according to the `supermodular stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083601
We use data from a television game show, involving elementary lotteries and substantial prize money, as a natural experiment to measure risk attitudes. We find robust evidence of substantial risk aversion. As an extension, we esimate the various models using transformations of the ‘true’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661826
uncertainty as an additive shock to a uniform consumer distribution. The additive shock restricts uncertainty to the mean of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971401
In this paper, we show how an investor can incorporate uncertainty about expected returns when choosing a mean … investor is neutral to uncertainty, we consider the case where the investor has multiple priors and is averse to uncertainty … model aversion to uncertainty via a minimization over the set of priors. The multi-prior model has several attractive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124485
In this Paper we develop a model of intertemporal portfolio choice where an investor accounts explicitly for the possibility of model misspecification. This work is motivated by the difficulty in estimating precisely the probability law for asset returns. Our contribution is to develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504745
, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737