Showing 1 - 10 of 383
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083665
In this paper we evaluate internationally agreed limits on public sector debt and deficits, such as those agreed by the EC countries in the Treaty of Maastricht as preconditions for membership in a monetary union. These fiscal convergence criteria require that general government budget deficits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123755
This paper revisits the paper 'Excessive deficits: sense and nonsense in the Treaty of Maastricht', co-authored with Giancarlo Corsetti and Nouriel Roubini and published during 2003 in Economic Policy. The first section of the paper addresses the problem that the exchange rate and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498135
In the current debate about the ageing of British and other societies the changing age structure is seen in almost entirely negative terms. This paper argues for a less pessimistic approach. The transition to an older population will be gradual enough to allow us time to plan. The overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662408
We estimate the portfolio effect of changes in social security wealth exploiting a decade of Italian pension reforms as … elicits expectations of retirement outcomes, thus allowing us to measure the expected social security wealth and to assess to … responded to the cut in pension benefits mostly by increasing real estate wealth, and that the response is stronger among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973973
The Paper is one of the first attempts to compute cyclical and structural deficits for a set of countries candidate to accession to the EU. Three main results are derived: first, the high deficits observed in candidate countries in recent years have a structural nature. Second, the fiscal stance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123632
This Paper outlines some issues regarding the interaction of independent fiscal authorities and one central bank in the European monetary union. It points out the possibilities for coordination failures, ranging everywhere from potentially excessive deficits and free-riding problems to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977290
The recent literature on endogenous economic growth allows for the effects of fiscal policy on long-term growth. If the social rate of return on investment exceeds the private return, tax policies that encourage investment can raise the growth rate and levels of utility. An excess of the social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136740
The intertemporal budget constraint of the government implies a relationship between a ratio of current liabilities to the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the primary deficit. This relationship defines a natural measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497882