the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this … model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the cross-sectional and times-series variations in civil conflict. Our …

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conflict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … after each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent …

a dark side: they increase the incidence of internal armed conflict by about 5-8 percentage points. This increased … incidence of conflict due to giant oilfield discoveries is especially high for countries that had already experienced armed …

mining activity on the probability/intensity of conflict at the local level. This is both true for low-level violence (riots … conflict. We also find that secessionist insurgencies are more likely in mining areas, which is in line with recent theories of … secessionist conflict. …

is the possible result of a conflict between multinational firms and local or national governments. The Paper compares …

those with first possession, land conflict will generally be minimal, though there may be political protests. But …, governments may assign de jure rights but not be willing to enforce the rights. This may generate potential or actual conflict … and land conflict on the frontiers of Australia, the U.S. and Brazil. We are particularly interested in examining the …

In their survey of the literature on ethnic fractionalization and economic performance, Alesina and La Ferrara (JEL … ethnic fractionalization on economic growth across countries using unique time-varying measures. We first replicate the … measures, econometric estimators, as well as to the use of an index of ethnic-religious-linguistic fractionalization. …

more rigorous econometric approach we provide evidence that conflict spillovers are indeed quantitatively very important …

geographic location for inter-State conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict tends to be more likely when …