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The size and economic relevance of Europe may imply a new role for the EURO in the international financial markets. But … will the EURO compete with the $US and the Yen for a place in the basket of international currencies? Will that induce a … run trend of the EURO depends on the economic performance of the partner countries as well as on the properties of the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662141
*The European Union will enter Stage Three of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999. The development of euro … financial markets and thickness externalities in the use of the euro as means of payment will be the major factors determining … the importance of the euro as an international currency. As euro securities markets become deeper and more liquid and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662175
A shift in taxes or in government spending (a ”fiscal shock”) at some point in time puts a constraint on the path of taxes and spending in the future, since the government intertemporal budget constraint will eventually have to be met. This simple fact is surprisingly overlooked in analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497892
This Paper computes welfare-maximizing monetary and tax policy feedback rules, in a calibrated dynamic general equilibrium model with sticky prices. The government makes exogenous final good purchases, levies a proportional income tax, and issues nominal one-period bonds. A quadratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497903
In the coming decades, the share of people in working age will fall significantly in most developed countries. According to optimal taxation theory, public debts should be reduced before the baby-boom generation retires. I find that if debts are instead maintained at the current levels, welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497919
We investigate the interdependence of fiscal policies, and in particular deficits, in the European Union using an empirical analysis based on real-time fiscal data. There are many potential reasons why fiscal policies could be interdependent, such as direct externalities due to cross-border...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497943
We explore how fiscal consolidations affect private sector confidence, a possible channel for the fiscal transmission that has received particular attention recently as a result of governments embarking on austerity trajectories in the aftermath of the crisis. Panel regressions based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083434
We analyse different forms of international debt mutualisation in a simple framework with a political distortion and (partial) default under adverse economic circumstances. One form is a debt repayment guarantee, which can be "unlimited" or "limited", i.e. only be invoked when the guarantee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083437
We propose a model-based measure of sovereign credit ratings derived solely from the fiscal position of a country: a forecast of its future debt liabilities, and its potential to use tax policy to repay these. We use this measure to calculate credit ratings for fourteen European countries over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083470
The immediate background to this paper is the downgrade of the U.K.'s credit rating in February 2013, the market's view that this should have occurred earlier and the emphasis in fiscal policy on reducing debt rather than recovery from recession. We propose a measure of the U.K. sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084436