Showing 1 - 10 of 483
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032873
supports the results of Backus and Driffill and of Barro, in that the uncertainty induces low or zero inflation outcomes in the … central result of the work by Backus and Driffill and by Barro is that the uncertainty may provide an incentive for the … government to maintain a socially efficient policy of zero inflation for most of the game, without any formal precommitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504603
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791846
Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
potential impact of inflation on: (a) saving through real interest rates (or uncertainty); (b) the income velocity of money; (c …Some channels through which increased inflation tends to reduce economic growth, and vice versa, are studied within a …) the government budget deficit through the inflation tax and tax erosion; and (d) efficiency in production through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666711
This paper reconsiders the relationship between inflation, economic growth and external debt, and discusses various … channels through which (a) increased inflation tends to reduce growth and raise foreign indebtedness over time and (b …) declining growth tends to amplify both inflation and debt. Based on a simple model of the simultaneous determination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661661
The paper discusses the strong output decline in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. It starts from the puzzling observation that the former CSFR, Hungary and Poland experienced a relatively similar decline in output in spite of completely different stabilization and transformation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123537
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU … is a significant determinant of inflation in a simple backward-looking Phillips Curve that incorporates import prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272719
This paper presents a theory of the monetary transmission mechanism in a monetary version of Farmer’s (2009) model in which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model; the optimizing IS curve and the policy rule. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320