Showing 1 - 10 of 219
Standard macroeconomic models suggest that the ‘great ratios’ of consumption to output and investment to output should be stationary. The joint behaviour of consumption, investment and output can then be used to measure trend output. We adopt this approach for the USA and UK, and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136779
Empirical estimates of the impact of government spending shocks disagree on central issues such as the size of output multipliers and the responses of consumption and the real wage. One explanation for the disagreement is that fiscal shocks are often anticipated. Due to misspecification of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068289
Frictionless, perfectly competitive traded-goods markets justify thinking of purchasing power parity (PPP) as the main driver of exchange rates in the long-run. But differences in the traded/non-traded sectors of economies tend to be persistent and affect movements in local price levels in ways...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550320
-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual advantages over standard ECM and FAVAR models. In particular, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468646
This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: error-correction, cointegration … the standard ECM, the FECM protects, at least in part, from omitted variable bias and the dependence of cointegration … cointegration prevent the errors from being non-invertible moving average processes. In addition, the FECM is a natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136642
Starting from the dynamic factor model for non-stationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and, by generalizing the Granger representation theorem, its moving-average representation. The latter is used for the identification of structural shocks and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083358
This paper studies business cycle interdependence among the industrialized countries since 1958. Using the spillover index methodology recently proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) and based on the generalized VAR framework, I develop an alternative measure of comovement of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083760
We examine the effects of mixed sampling frequencies and temporal aggregation on standard tests for cointegration. We … the size distortion of the tests. We test stock prices and dividends for cointegration as an empirical demonstration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084358
Applied cointegration analysis has much to gain from strong links with economic theory. For example, the current … important information about the economic structure can be found in the short-run dynamics, which most cointegration studies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661938
This paper surveys the performance of international capital markets and the literature on measuring international capital mobility. Three main functions of a globally integrated and efficient world capital market provide focal points for the analysis. First, asset-price arbitrage ensures that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789050