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The Friedman rule states that steady-state welfare is maximized when there is deflation at the real rate of interest …. Recent work by Khan et al. (2003) uses a richer model but still finds deflation optimal. In an otherwise standard new … Keynesian model we show that, if households have hyperbolic discounting, small positive rates of inflation can be optimal. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643503
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661752
This paper models Chinese inflation using an output gap Phillips curve. Inflation modelling for the world’s sixth … curve for China and show that the output gap, the exchange rate, and inflation expectations play important roles in … explaining inflation. We adjust for structural change in the economy where possible and estimate regressions for rolling sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656372
This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123935
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791238
examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … similar inflation behaviour, in that inflation depends more closely on the capacity utilization rate than on the unemployment … high unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 1970s and 1980s in Germany, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661839
The Paper highlights one critical difference between Europe and the US regarding the Phillips curve: the behaviour of prices. While they are quickly restored to an equilibrium level in the US, European prices are driven by highly counter-cyclical mark-ups. In bad times, European firms manage to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662168
An analysis of the performance of GDP, employment and other labor market variables following the troughs in postwar U.S. business cycles points to much slower recoveries in the three most recent episodes, but does not reveal any significant change over time in the relation between GDP and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083346