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finds evidence for a significant and sizeable effect of central bank transparency on forecast dispersion, be it by means of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458290
Recent reforms in New Zealand have focused attention on the achievement of well-specific objectives for monetary and fiscal policy. The Reserve Bank Act requires that monetary policy be directed towards maintenance of inflation in the 0-2 per cent range. The Fiscal Responsibility Act specifies a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971347
This paper reviews the monetary transmission mechanism in low income countries (LICs). We use monetary transmission in advanced and emerging markets as a benchmark to identify aspects of the transmission mechanism that may operate differently in LICs. In particular, we focus on the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466328
within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … forecast the risks of worldwide deflation for horizons of up to two years. Although recently fears of worldwide deflation have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
The first part of the paper analyzes the inflationary risks associated with price liberalization, the welfare costs of inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the low credibility of stabilization policies and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
about the procedures it uses to assess the economy and, especially, about the forecast errors it makes. Under certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124006
This paper examines a special episode in communication practices of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) when short-term interest rates reached the zero bound. A particular feature of SNB communication policy at the time was to talk openly about alternative policy instruments despite the fact that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791771
This paper compares the recent evolution of long-run inflation expectations in the euro area and the United States, using evidence from financial markets and surveys of professional forecasters. Survey data indicate that long-run inflation expectations are reasonably well-anchored in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504440
The long-run price elasticity of demand for credit is a key parameter for intertemporal modeling, policy levers, and lending practice. We use randomized interest rates, offered across 80 regions by Mexico’s largest microlender, to identify a 29-month dollars-borrowed elasticity of -1.9. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084221
Taxation data have been used to create long-run series for the distribution of top incomes in quite a number of countries. Most of these studies have focused on the national experience of individual countries, but we can also learn from cross-country comparisons. Comparative analysis is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008485492