Showing 1 - 10 of 749
This paper investigates the possible existence of asymmetric effects in the response of four central banks to inflation and output gaps as regards the 'sign' and 'size' of those gaps. The evidence obtained both through the estimation of a generalized Taylor rule and an ordered probit model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662189
Despite convergence pressures, differences in housing and financial market institutions across the 15 member states of the European Union are still enormous. This paper argues that they have profound effects on the responsiveness of output and inflation in the different countries to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504528
The United Kingdom is a highly open economy, and has a monetary policy strategy of targeting inflation in consumer prices. In this Paper, we look at the evidence from the UK on inflation behaviour, and examine the propositions from several theoretical models about inflation dynamics in an open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662158
The volatile data for inflation, output, and interest rates in the United Kingdom prior to the 1990s, and the relative macroeconomic stability associated with inflation targeting, provide a rich basis for discriminating between rival explanations for the outbreak of stagflation. We examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667056
In this Paper we study the role of the exchange rate in conducting monetary policy in an economy with near-zero nominal interest rates as experienced in Japan since the mid-1990s. Our analysis is based on an estimated model of Japan, the United States and the euro area with rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788995
In this paper we compare expected loss minimization to worst-case or minimax analysis in the design of simple Taylor-style rules for monetary policy using a small model estimated for the euro area by Orphanides and Wieland (2000). We find that rules optimized under a minimax objective in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791479
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791794
In this paper, we examine the cost of insurance against model uncertainty for the euro area considering four alternative reference models, all of which are used for policy analysis at the ECB. We find that maximal insurance across this model range in terms of a Minimax policy comes at moderate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792144
This Paper employs stochastic simulations of a small structural rational expectations model to investigate the consequences of the zero bound on nominal interest rates. We find that if the economy is subject to stochastic shocks similar in magnitude to those experienced in the US over the 1980s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123657
The ‘new open-economy macroeconomics’ seeks to provide an improved basis for monetary and exchange-rate policy through the construction of open-economy models that feature rational expectations, optimizing agents, and slowly adjusting prices of goods. This Paper promotes an alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123836