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Some channels through which increased inflation tends to reduce economic growth, and vice versa, are studied within a … potential impact of inflation on: (a) saving through real interest rates (or uncertainty); (b) the income velocity of money; (c …) the government budget deficit through the inflation tax and tax erosion; and (d) efficiency in production through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666711
Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
This paper reconsiders the relationship between inflation, economic growth and external debt, and discusses various … channels through which (a) increased inflation tends to reduce growth and raise foreign indebtedness over time and (b …) declining growth tends to amplify both inflation and debt. Based on a simple model of the simultaneous determination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661661
We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550324
Inflation targeting seems to have a small but positive effect on the synchronization of business cycles; countries that … target inflation seem to have cycles that move slightly more closely with foreign cycles. Thus the advent of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973969
. The model includes equations for GDP, inflation, interest rates and non-oil commodity prices. GDP and inflation reflect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504228
This paper reviews the monetary transmission mechanism in low income countries (LICs). We use monetary transmission in advanced and emerging markets as a benchmark to identify aspects of the transmission mechanism that may operate differently in LICs. In particular, we focus on the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466328
Intra-day interest rates are zero. Consequently, a foreign exchange dealer can short a vulnerable currency in the morning, close this position in the afternoon, and never face an interest cost. This tactic might seem especially attractive in times of crisis, since it suggests an immunity to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124023
A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example … account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We decompose the price-rent ratio in a rational component — meant to … capture the proxy effect and risk premia — and an implied mispricing. We find that inflation and nominal interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067397
Using firm-level data, we provide evidence that, although monetary policy affects real investment, the effect operates differentially: the greater its export intensity the less a firm is affected by tight money. We examine several interpretations and conclude that the impact is transmitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504673