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standards of the deficit (3%) and the debt (60% of GDP) criterion. When the benign assumption does not hold, we distinguish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667090
Two literatures in political economy argue that differences in political institutions help explain variation in the fiscal performance of countries. They indentify electoral systems and institutions that structure the formation of the budget as important determinants of the budget deficit. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791607
We explore how fiscal consolidations affect private sector confidence, a possible channel for the fiscal transmission that has received particular attention recently as a result of governments embarking on austerity trajectories in the aftermath of the crisis. Panel regressions based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083434
We study budget formation in a model featuring separation of powers. In our model, the legislature designs a budget bill that can include a cap on total spending and earmarked allocations to designated public projects. Each project provides random benefits to one of many interest groups. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791745
Fiscal rules specify quantitative targets for key budgetary aggregates. In this paper, we review the experience with such rules in Japan and in the EU. Comparing the performance of fiscal policy in the 1980s and 1990s until 2003, we find that the fiscal rule of the 1980s exerted some but not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124378
significantly different from zero. Following the findings in Bohn (1998), we also experiment with a model that includes debt and the … from the budget constraint makes a difference after 1980, when the response of fiscal variables to the level of the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536
policy multiplier. The effect of fiscal policy on output is different depending on the different debt dynamics, the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201121
The Stability and Growth Pact is under fire. Problems have appeared in sticking to the rules. Proposals to reform the Pact or ditch it altogether abound. But is the Pact a flawed fiscal rule? Against established criteria for an ideal fiscal rule, its design and compliance mechanisms fare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791638
The Paper explores how fiscal policy can be made both more disciplined and more counter-cyclical. It first examines whether the decline of public debts observed in the OECD area during the 1990s can be explained either by less activism or by a priority towards consolidation. It then argues that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791671
We explore how fiscal policies in the OECD have responded to unexpected information about the economy during the period 1995-2006. In particular, we first estimate standard fiscal rules using ex-ante data (i.e. forecasts). We then estimate how fiscal policy reacts to new information, especially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791832