Showing 1 - 10 of 492
unemployment rate. I show that the connection between changes in the stock market and changes in the unemployment rate has remained … unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083701
spirit of Blanchard and Summers (1988), the model can generate multiple equilibria, with a low-quits/high-unemployment … equilibrium coexisting with a high-quits/low-unemployment equilibrium. Under weak conditions, low-unemployment equilibria Pareto … dominate high-unemployment equilibria. Mobility premia improve aggregate welfare but may increase unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791589
cycle fact: expansions and contractions in output are equally brief and violent but contractions in employment are briefer … and more violent than expansions. The difference arises because employment typically lags output around peaks but both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114328
This paper develops a political economy model of multiple unemployment equilibria to provide a theory of an endogenous … natural rate of unemployment. This model is applied to the UK and the US interwar period which is remembered as the decade of … mass unemployment. The theory here sees the natural rate and the associated path of unemployment as a reaction to shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791549
Monetary policy affects both real variables, such as employment, unemployment and output and nominal variables such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971339
What role does labour play in firms’ market value? We explore this question using a production-based asset-pricing model with frictions in the adjustment of both capital and labor. We posit that hiring of labour is akin to investment in capital and that the two interact, with the interaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114309
We argue that firms’ balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up (“high-leverage firms”) exhibit a significantly larger decline in employment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252614
Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment loss. Employers’ reticence to hire in the preceding expansion, associated in part with a lack of confidence it would last, contributed to an employment shortfall equivalent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246610
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320