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It is often argued that the EMS is an effective disciplinary device for inflation-prone countries in the EEC, since it …-makers in high-inflation countries: the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation (in terms of … inflationary finance, we find that they will always prefer EMS membership. When the policy-maker needs revenue from the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
that fix exchange rates and those that target inflation. Inflation targeting is a more durable policy; no country has yet … been forced to abandon an inflation target, while many have abandoned fixed exchange rates. Indeed, even though inflation … targeting began only in 1990, the duration of inflation targeting regimes is at least as long as, or longer than all alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662031
inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
have been able to abandon soft peg because of their success in substituting inflation targeting for exchange rate targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498132
This Paper documents four basic facts about investment goods and investment prices. First, investment has a very significant non-tradable component in the form of construction services. Second, distributions services (wholesaling, retailing, and transportation) are much less important for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662174
In this paper we seek to produce forecasts of commodity price movements that can systematically improve on naive statistical benchmarks, and revisit the forecasting performance of changes in commodity currencies as efficient predictors of commodity prices, a view emphasized in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530384
The persistently high rate of unemployment has probably been Western Europe's most important economic problem of the 1970s and 1980s. Average unemployment rose relentlessly between the early seventies and the mid-eighties, in contrast to the United States, where unemployment has displayed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791195
that: (i) Two shocks capture 80% of the variance of key variables such as output and inflation at all horizons; (ii) The … monetary shock mainly affects the term structure of interest rates, but has virtually no effect on output and inflation so that … technology have been the main forces for the dynamics of cyclical output and inflation during the Greenspan era, while supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666484
justified empirically. Both the relation between money and inflation, and between money and aggregate demand, are considered …. Regarding the first relation, it is argued that both the mean and the dynamics of inflation in present-day models are governed … monetary aggregates and inflation in no way requires a direct channel connecting money and inflation. The relevance of money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656172
This Paper examines the consequences of interactions between the bank lending channel and the traditional interest rate and exchange rate channels on the effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission in Poland since 1994. First, we develop a small open-economy credit-augmented model. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666443