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The effects of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are disputed. In this paper, we assess these effects using capital market data and an event-study approach, using a daily data set covering a thousand announcements spanning over eighty economies and a hundred RTAs over twenty recent years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293663
Multiple Cause (MIMIC) model. Our analysis is conducted on a cross-section of 107 countries; we focus on national causes and … consequences of the crisis, ignoring cross-country "contagion" effects. Our model of the incidence of the crisis combines 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969128
Multiple Cause (MIMIC) model. Our analysis is conducted on a cross-section of 85 countries; we focus on international linkages … that may have allowed the crisis to spread across countries. Our model of the cross-country incidence of the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528523
random walk model of stock prices performs as well as any estimated model at one to twelve month horizons, even though we …, aggregate stock prices seem to be as difficult to model empirically as exchange rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124429
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666776
than the act of actually holding a mega-event. We develop a political economy model that formalizes this idea, and derives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788959
between countries. Second, we provide a model of product-based cultural change. Our main theoretical predictions are: (i … cultural distance; (iii) trade openness has a lock-in effect on culture. Third, we test the model using an instrumental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082538
Estimating the effect of trade on capital flows is difficult given the inherent identification problem. We use fluctuations in rainfall to capture the exogenous variation in trade between Germany, France, the U.K., and the Ottoman Empire during 1859-1913. The provisionistic policy of the Ottoman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009283394
This paper shows that electoral incentives deter politicians from supporting trade liberalization. We focus on all major trade bills introduced since the early 1970s in the U.S. Congress, in which House and Senate members serve respectively two- and six-year terms and one third of senators face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293983
I survey the influence of Grossman and Hart's (1986) seminal paper in the field of International Trade. I discuss the implementation of the theory in open-economy environments and its implications for the international organization of production and the structure of international trade flows. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320400